Ayodele Predicts Crisis If Tinubu Loses
Primate Elijah Ayodele has warned that Nigeria could experience prolonged political unrest and ethnic tensions if President Bola Tinubu loses the 2027 presidential election.
Primate Elijah Ayodele, leader of INRI Evangelical Spiritual Church, has warned that Nigeria could face serious political turmoil if President Bola Tinubu loses the 2027 presidential election. In remarks circulated in a statement signed by his media aide, Osho Oluwatosin, the cleric said a defeat could trigger prolonged instability, attempts to disrupt result announcements and heightened ethnic tensions.
Note: Ayodele's comments are a conditional warning about a possible outcome, not evidence that violence will occur or that Tinubu will lose the election.
Ayodele Warns Of Political Crisis
“If Tinubu loses this election, there will be so many crises, and it will take a long time to settle down,” Ayodele said, warning that the consequences could be severe.
The cleric claimed Tinubu and his supporters were confident of securing another term, suggesting that an unexpected loss could be difficult for some political actors to accept.
Ayodele also alleged that there could be attempts to stop the announcement of results if Tinubu loses. He warned that such a scenario could create ethnic tensions and uncertainty around the transfer of power.
“There will be several attempts to stop the announcement of results. The election can cause an ethnic crisis; it will take time for him to decide if he will release power or not,” he said.
APC Victory Not Guaranteed, Cleric Says
Ayodele also questioned the confidence he attributed to the ruling All Progressives Congress. He said the party's victory was not certain, despite what he described as its belief that no opponent could defeat it.
“APC victory is shaking,” he said, adding that a possible defeat could disappoint supporters and affect politicians whose influence depends on the party remaining in power.
The cleric further suggested that an electoral loss could have implications for Nigeria's electoral process. His comments come as political parties and aspirants prepare for the next general election.
Electoral Process And Public Response
Nigeria's election outcome will be determined through the constitutional and legal electoral process, rather than through any individual prediction. Voters, political parties, election officials, security agencies and courts all have roles in ensuring that disputes are addressed through lawful channels.
Predictions of violence can attract attention because Nigeria has experienced political tensions and communal violence in different periods. Nevertheless, the possibility of unrest in a future election cannot be treated as inevitable, and claims about ethnic conflict require careful attribution rather than presentation as established fact.
For voters, the practical focus remains on credible information, peaceful participation and accountability. Citizens can follow official announcements from the Independent National Electoral Commission, assess candidates' policies and records, and reject unverified messages that could inflame tensions.
Ayodele's warning has added to public discussion ahead of 2027, but it remains a prediction rather than a confirmed forecast. Whether the election is peaceful will depend on real events, the conduct of political actors and the strength of institutions responsible for managing the vote. Nigerians should assess such statements critically and rely on verified updates as the election approaches.
In August, Ayodele disputed reports that he had predicted Tinubu would lose, saying his earlier comments concerned a possible outcome rather than declaring a winner outright.
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